Am I missing something in all of this?
Is the expectation that exporters will reduce their prices by the level of tariff to sell at the same gross price to the US?
Why would they do that? Take a 10-30% hit to the bottom line? Not unless they have zero alternative they won’t.
And if they don’t, isn’t it just the US comsumer or wholesaler going to be the one that bears the cost of this?
Take Australian aluminum for example. Which America asked us to increase supply only a couple of years ago. Why would we continue to supply the US and take a 10% hit when it’s only 1-2% of our total export volume. I’m sure we will find an alternative market reasonably quickly.
I know everyone is bleating about this, but I can’t help but think it’ll be the US consumer that gets rogered by all of this.
Australia has a trade surplus. What if, not as a government action but a commercial one, Aussie impoters just start to source alternative products rather than those from the US simply because their now too hard to deal with? That affects the US as well.
I can’t help but think this is all about a domestic mind game aimed at changing the US psyche rather than the rest of the world.
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