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Ineos Chemicals in Debt (is IA safe?).

Yeah of course but in his position I’d do exactly the same thing, run some “pet projects” that I was interested in and not worry too much about making losses because they can be offset against income elsewhere.

And let's face it, we all bought expensive vehicles we know will depreciate when the “best” solution might have been to buy an old vehicle that has already lost most of its value. It’s not Al in life to trade off the money we make in investments / savings / appreciating property etc against losing money on things we want (a Grenadier) or want to do (holidays, hobbies etc).

👍
Absolutely! Full ack! Nothing to add or criticize here. Not everything in life has to be meaningful or CO2-neutral, there are overwhelmingly many other aspects that make up life...

The one and only thing I was mentioning that I cannot hear this "losses are a good thing" stuff any more. This always comes from people who _never_ ran an own business with own money involved.

EDIT: I still think we got good value for our money. It is _not_ an expensive vehicle. Look at an average EV: What is worth 60kEUR in such a mobile phone on 4 wheels? What's the depreciation there? Compared to such "deals" we early adopters have decided extremely well...
 
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The one and only thing I was mentioning that I cannot hear this "losses are a good thing" stuff any more. This always comes from people who _never_ ran an own business with own money involved.

That's the nuance that we lose with Ineos being private. We have (tbh I only spent like 10-15 minutes searching) limited visibility into Ineos' actual finances.

Posting losses due to capital expenditures (capex) made to fund future growth is a hugely different thing than posting losses because your unit economics suck and/or market share is declining, for example. The first is probably a very positive thing (hell that basically describes Amazon's first 20+ years), the latter a big red flag (Intel comes to mind)
 
Quote from this article:


"One of the biggest drains on Ineos’s coffers is its car business. Ratcliffe set up Ineos Automotive to create a new off-road vehicle after Land Rover’s owner JLR turned its rugged Defender into a premium SUV.

Yet even billionaires have struggled to build new car companies. James Dyson, a fellow super-rich manufacturer (and another Brexit backer) said he blew £500m on building an electric car that never took to roads. Ratcliffe appears to have outdone him: Ineos Automotive has burned through €1.4bn since 2018, and it had another €2.3bn in debt at the end of 2023.

That was before the collapse of a seat supplier in September forced it to pause production for three months. A person with knowledge of its operations said the company was ramping up production at its factory in France (which was chosen ahead of a plant in south Wales) although it had been affected by the slow demand felt across the car

3,7bn burned...some call it success and everything is running according to the plan...

Whar I didn't know was that he bought the Grenadier Pub....which made a loss of 1,4 million in 2023...

AWo
 
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Quote from this article:


"One of the biggest drains on Ineos’s coffers is its car business. Ratcliffe set up Ineos Automotive to create a new off-road vehicle after Land Rover’s owner JLR turned its rugged Defender into a premium SUV.

Yet even billionaires have struggled to build new car companies. James Dyson, a fellow super-rich manufacturer (and another Brexit backer) said he blew £500m on building an electric car that never took to roads. Ratcliffe appears to have outdone him: Ineos Automotive has burned through €1.4bn since 2018, and it had another €2.3bn in debt at the end of 2023.

That was before the collapse of a seat supplier in September forced it to pause production for three months. A person with knowledge of its operations said the company was ramping up production at its factory in France (which was chosen ahead of a plant in south Wales) although it had been affected by the slow demand felt across the car

3,7bn burned...some call it success and everything is running according to the plan...

Whar I didn't know was that he bought the Grenadier Pub....which made a loss of 1,4 million in 2023...

AWo
Yawn....
 
I suspect that if you made US dealers an offer that made them whole they would hand back the dealership. All of the comments above puts pressure on the weakest link in a company.
 
I do agree with offloading sponsorships is different to offloading investments/ assets. And frankly, when sports people are getting multimillion dollar contracts to play with a ball or sail a boat then Im all for it personally - Ineos seems to have grown through intelligent financial management over the years. Surly investing half-billion or so in IA represents a considerable investment - and surely there were significant business plans developed that established that the investment was wise one. For now I suspect "don't panic"
 
At this point Ineos Automotive is an global car company with operations in several affluent markets, and a dealer network in the US. It's not just going to vanish. Worst case scenario, it's sold at a loss to some other company.

From what I can tell, Ratcliffe went on a manic spending spree in the past few years and it's no surprise that he wants to rein it in. But IA is a functioning and valuable business, and it's not going to get axed like a sponsorship deal.
 
In the future people will remember the vehcile, not so much the various sponsorships.
A passion project for sure , and maybe he will want to keep this as his mobile billboard legacy.
I guess it also partly depends upon son George as well.
I think China is an unpredictable market, but it might be a winner, who knows? Not us 😄
 
I think there are enough units out in the world that even if IA goes away, we'll be ok. Hope so, anyway. Heck of an enthusiastic roster of vendors for a model so new currently. I would think a garage that deals with BMW ought to be able to handle the powertrain ok, anyway. Hoping for the best, but will be sticking with mine for the long haul.
From the people that know a lot more about this than I do, there’s a critical mass of delivered units needed. For a spin off grenadier industry being self sustaining if it all goes kaput and it not being a super niche ‘thing’ then we’re looking at 50k minimum delivered units.

Again this is what I’ve been told along the way over the last 5 years or so in various conversations.
 
From the people that know a lot more about this than I do, there’s a critical mass of delivered units needed. For a spin off grenadier industry being self sustaining if it all goes kaput and it not being a super niche ‘thing’ then we’re looking at 50k minimum delivered units.

Again this is what I’ve been told along the way over the last 5 years or so in various conversations.
Isn't that what I told? If you're not sponsored by Mother Inc. Ltd. like many other car manufacturers (Aston Martin (which belongs to ProDrive), Bentley, etc.) it is difficult to survive. Now Ineos is facing a hard chemical business. The chemical business is forced to painful austerity measures and has heavy expenditures themselves (Project One Antwerp, China plant and some acquisitions of te last year like a plant in the south of France), so JR needs to step back from all his "interests" which doesn't earn a cent.

And I assume we can agree that IA is far from selling 50k units a year....I predict, they never will.

I am still convinced that they have better started with a more mass compatible cheaper entry modell, leaving the fancy stuff for the more (and less) healthy ones (and thereby agreeing with what APSW was claiming). Doing so generates a steady income. But beside missing this I believe that their non- and bad communication as well as quality issues doesn't do them a favour. Especially in the beginning when JR forced deliveries while the car wasn't ready (remember the weeks were the cars were sitting at the dealer, parts had to be changed etc.) cost them a lot of reputation (and money). Which guy who runs a business can afford having his Grenadier sitting at the dealer for six weeks. And not all cars can be substituted with a loaner. If you sell commercial cars the might be modified to transport tools etc. A loaner doesn't help here. The price kills the Grenadier for a broader commercial use, as well. As it does for the VW Amarok, MB X-Class, etc.

Of course, you see nothing of that in the media, there is everything fine&shine. But the talk behind closed doors within the small 4x4 scene (at least in Europe) was anything but hepful. I had a lot conversations with people doing business with the Grenadier and need a good reputation but at the bar with a beer in our hands, they were very unhappy with Ineos.

You can like or love the Grenadier and see Ineos as a holy company with JR as the high priest, but the numbers doesn't care about that. And I repeat myself, don't forget, Ineos growth in business is one of buying and selling (already) running companies in a market where money was earned relatively easy (the last decades). Ineos almost never raised something on their own. So don't confuse their success in the chemical business with other buisinesses they do, like building cars. In addition, they are facing a lot of challenges, because countries and companies try to become more independent of China. That means, that chemical capacities are increasing globally as new plants are raised in different countries, generating more competition in a market which doesn't change its size at the same time, in fact which is deacreasing actually.

AWo
 
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Isn't that what I told? If you're not sponsored by Mother Inc. Ltd. like many other car manufacturers (Aston Martin (which belongs to ProDrive), Bentley, etc.) it is difficult to survive. Now Ineos is facing a hard chemical business. The chemical business is forced to painful austerity measures and has heavy expenditures themselves (Project One Antwerp, China plant and some acquisitions of te last year like a plant in the south of France), so JR needs to step back from all his "interests" which doesn't earn a cent.

And I assume we can agree that IA is far from selling 50k units a year....I predict, they never will.

I am still convinced that they have better started with a more mass compatible cheaper entry modell, leaving the fancy stuff for the more (and less) healthy ones (and thereby agreeing with what APSW was claiming). Doing so generates a steady income. But beside missing this I believe that their non- and bad communication as well as quality issues doesn't do them a favour. Especially in the beginning when JR forced deliveries while the car wasn't ready (remember the weeks were the cars were sitting at the dealer, parts had to be changed etc.) cost them a lot of reputation (and money). Which guy who runs a business can afford having his Grenadier sitting at the dealer for six weeks. And not all cars can be substituted with a loaner. If you sell commercial cars the might be modified to transport tools etc. A loaner doesn't help here. The price kills the Grenadier for a broader commercial use, as well. As it does for the VW Amarok, MB X-Class, etc.

Of course, you see nothing of that in the media, there is everything fine&shine. But the talk behind closed doors within the small 4x4 scene (at least in Europe) was anything but hepful. I had a lot conversations with people doing business with the Grenadier and need a good reputation but at the bar with a beer in our hands, they were very unhappy with Ineos.

You can like or love the Grenadier and see Ineos as a holy company with JR as the high priest, but the numbers doesn't care about that. And I repeat myself, don't forget, Ineos growth in business is one of buying and selling (already) running companies in a market where money was earned relatively easy (the last decades). Ineos almost never raised something on their own. So don't confuse their success in the chemical business with other buisinesses they do, like building cars. In addition, they are facing a lot of challenges, because countries and companies try to become more independent of China. That means, that chemical capacities are increasing globally as new plants are raised in different countries, generating more competition in a market which doesn't change its size at the same time, in fact which is deacreasing actually.

AWo
You’re misunderstanding me.

I meant that if INEOS sells 50k units total and then stops production is the critical mass number for a viable cottage industry keeping these things on the road.

Again, this is the number that’s come up in conversations over the years from people that know a lot more about this stuff than I do.
 
Locally, there have been over 115 units on the lot since late 2024. If you can believe the inventory on the websites then the three dealers combined have sold less than 5 in the last 30 days….maybe 60 days. I saw that one of the dealers (Irvine) has started discounting 7k+ off MSRP.

I can’t imagine what the dealer is thinking as they wonder what to do with cars on the lot and 2025’s, with no real change, arriving soon.
 
Locally, there have been over 115 units on the lot since late 2024. If you can believe the inventory on the websites then the three dealers combined have sold less than 5 in the last 30 days….maybe 60 days. I saw that one of the dealers (Irvine) has started discounting 7k+ off MSRP.

I can’t imagine what the dealer is thinking as they wonder what to do with cars on the lot and 2025’s, with no real change, arriving soon.
I drive by Rusnak Ineos almost daily. Their inventory appears to be turning over.
 
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